Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar’s established position in Texas’s 28th district, where he has served since 2005 and won renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent, underpins the Democratic edge in trader pricing. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+3 yet has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, giving Cuellar structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, the Webb County judge who secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments since the primaries, market consensus assigns the higher implied probability to the incumbent while leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout patterns in South Texas, or national political conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-28 House Election Winner
TX-28 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,072 Wol.
66%
Republican Party
$353 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar’s established position in Texas’s 28th district, where he has served since 2005 and won renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent, underpins the Democratic edge in trader pricing. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+3 yet has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, giving Cuellar structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, the Webb County judge who secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments since the primaries, market consensus assigns the higher implied probability to the incumbent while leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout patterns in South Texas, or national political conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,426Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar’s established position in Texas’s 28th district, where he has served since 2005 and won renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent, underpins the Democratic edge in trader pricing. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+3 yet has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, giving Cuellar structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, the Webb County judge who secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments since the primaries, market consensus assigns the higher implied probability to the incumbent while leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout patterns in South Texas, or national political conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$1,426Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar’s established position in Texas’s 28th district, where he has served since 2005 and won renomination in the March 2026 primary with 58 percent, underpins the Democratic edge in trader pricing. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+3 yet has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, giving Cuellar structural advantages in name recognition and fundraising against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, the Webb County judge who secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin. With the general election still five months away and no major late-breaking developments since the primaries, market consensus assigns the higher implied probability to the incumbent while leaving room for shifts from campaign spending, turnout patterns in South Texas, or national political conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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