South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 71.7% victory in 2024. Incumbent Sheri Biggs faces no opposition in the Republican primary and holds a clear fundraising and name-recognition edge over Democratic nominee Eunice Lehmacher, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. With the November 3, 2026 general election approaching and no major scandals or national shifts altering local dynamics, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 93.5%. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant health event, or dramatic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-03 House Election Winner
SC-03 House Election Winner
$43,211 Vol.
$43,211 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$43,211 Vol.
$43,211 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$29,393 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$13,819 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 71.7% victory in 2024. Incumbent Sheri Biggs faces no opposition in the Republican primary and holds a clear fundraising and name-recognition edge over Democratic nominee Eunice Lehmacher, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. With the November 3, 2026 general election approaching and no major scandals or national shifts altering local dynamics, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 93.5%. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant health event, or dramatic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 71.7% victory in 2024. Incumbent Sheri Biggs faces no opposition in the Republican primary and holds a clear fundraising and name-recognition edge over Democratic nominee Eunice Lehmacher, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. With the November 3, 2026 general election approaching and no major scandals or national shifts altering local dynamics, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 93.5%. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant health event, or dramatic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,211End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 71.7% victory in 2024. Incumbent Sheri Biggs faces no opposition in the Republican primary and holds a clear fundraising and name-recognition edge over Democratic nominee Eunice Lehmacher, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary. With the November 3, 2026 general election approaching and no major scandals or national shifts altering local dynamics, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 93.5%. Late developments such as an unexpected retirement, significant health event, or dramatic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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