Trump administration officials and Treasury appointees have advanced mock designs and preparations for a new $250 denomination featuring the president’s portrait to mark the U.S. semiquincentennial, with related legislation introduced in early 2025 that would create an exception to the longstanding prohibition on living persons appearing on currency. The measure remains stalled in committee with no enacted authorization, while standard Bureau of Engraving and Printing timelines for new note production, security features, and distribution far exceed the remaining months of 2026. Traders assign overwhelming probability to “No” because these procedural, legal, and manufacturing constraints make issuance before year-end effectively impossible absent immediate congressional passage and accelerated federal action. Late-session legislative breakthroughs or expedited executive directives represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$28,543 Vol.
$28,543 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% chance
$28,543 Vol.
$28,543 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump administration officials and Treasury appointees have advanced mock designs and preparations for a new $250 denomination featuring the president’s portrait to mark the U.S. semiquincentennial, with related legislation introduced in early 2025 that would create an exception to the longstanding prohibition on living persons appearing on currency. The measure remains stalled in committee with no enacted authorization, while standard Bureau of Engraving and Printing timelines for new note production, security features, and distribution far exceed the remaining months of 2026. Traders assign overwhelming probability to “No” because these procedural, legal, and manufacturing constraints make issuance before year-end effectively impossible absent immediate congressional passage and accelerated federal action. Late-session legislative breakthroughs or expedited executive directives represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$28,543End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump administration officials and Treasury appointees have advanced mock designs and preparations for a new $250 denomination featuring the president’s portrait to mark the U.S. semiquincentennial, with related legislation introduced in early 2025 that would create an exception to the longstanding prohibition on living persons appearing on currency. The measure remains stalled in committee with no enacted authorization, while standard Bureau of Engraving and Printing timelines for new note production, security features, and distribution far exceed the remaining months of 2026. Traders assign overwhelming probability to “No” because these procedural, legal, and manufacturing constraints make issuance before year-end effectively impossible absent immediate congressional passage and accelerated federal action. Late-session legislative breakthroughs or expedited executive directives represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,543End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration officials and Treasury appointees have advanced mock designs and preparations for a new $250 denomination featuring the president’s portrait to mark the U.S. semiquincentennial, with related legislation introduced in early 2025 that would create an exception to the longstanding prohibition on living persons appearing on currency. The measure remains stalled in committee with no enacted authorization, while standard Bureau of Engraving and Printing timelines for new note production, security features, and distribution far exceed the remaining months of 2026. Traders assign overwhelming probability to “No” because these procedural, legal, and manufacturing constraints make issuance before year-end effectively impossible absent immediate congressional passage and accelerated federal action. Late-session legislative breakthroughs or expedited executive directives represent the narrow pathways that could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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