Trump's approval rating has remained anchored near 37 percent in recent polling averages, reflecting sustained public concerns over the costs and casualties of U.S. military involvement in Iran alongside broader economic pressures such as higher gas prices. Multiple surveys from late July, including those by AP-NORC and others, show approval in the low-to-mid 30s with disapproval exceeding 55 percent, a pattern consistent with gradual erosion since earlier in the second term. This narrow band of outcomes around 37-39 percent on August 7 aligns with the current stability in daily tracking, where short-term volatility from news cycles or weekend polling releases could shift the final figure by a point or two. Any positive diplomatic developments in the Iran situation or favorable economic data before the survey window could push readings higher, while continued emphasis on war burdens or new negative indicators would likely reinforce the lower end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 46%
37.0–37.4 45%
38.5–38.9 45%
39.0+ 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
<37.0
38%
37.0–37.4
45%
37.5–37.9
44%
38.0–38.4
46%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0+
44%
38.0–38.4 46%
37.0–37.4 45%
38.5–38.9 45%
39.0+ 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
<37.0
$53 Vol.
38%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
45%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
44%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
46%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
45%
39.0+
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump's approval rating has remained anchored near 37 percent in recent polling averages, reflecting sustained public concerns over the costs and casualties of U.S. military involvement in Iran alongside broader economic pressures such as higher gas prices. Multiple surveys from late July, including those by AP-NORC and others, show approval in the low-to-mid 30s with disapproval exceeding 55 percent, a pattern consistent with gradual erosion since earlier in the second term. This narrow band of outcomes around 37-39 percent on August 7 aligns with the current stability in daily tracking, where short-term volatility from news cycles or weekend polling releases could shift the final figure by a point or two. Any positive diplomatic developments in the Iran situation or favorable economic data before the survey window could push readings higher, while continued emphasis on war burdens or new negative indicators would likely reinforce the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$53End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump's approval rating has remained anchored near 37 percent in recent polling averages, reflecting sustained public concerns over the costs and casualties of U.S. military involvement in Iran alongside broader economic pressures such as higher gas prices. Multiple surveys from late July, including those by AP-NORC and others, show approval in the low-to-mid 30s with disapproval exceeding 55 percent, a pattern consistent with gradual erosion since earlier in the second term. This narrow band of outcomes around 37-39 percent on August 7 aligns with the current stability in daily tracking, where short-term volatility from news cycles or weekend polling releases could shift the final figure by a point or two. Any positive diplomatic developments in the Iran situation or favorable economic data before the survey window could push readings higher, while continued emphasis on war burdens or new negative indicators would likely reinforce the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$53End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's approval rating has remained anchored near 37 percent in recent polling averages, reflecting sustained public concerns over the costs and casualties of U.S. military involvement in Iran alongside broader economic pressures such as higher gas prices. Multiple surveys from late July, including those by AP-NORC and others, show approval in the low-to-mid 30s with disapproval exceeding 55 percent, a pattern consistent with gradual erosion since earlier in the second term. This narrow band of outcomes around 37-39 percent on August 7 aligns with the current stability in daily tracking, where short-term volatility from news cycles or weekend polling releases could shift the final figure by a point or two. Any positive diplomatic developments in the Iran situation or favorable economic data before the survey window could push readings higher, while continued emphasis on war burdens or new negative indicators would likely reinforce the lower end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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