Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance is tracking toward roughly $140 million domestically, cementing trader consensus around the sub-$180 million outcome. The film delivered a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend in late July, but early estimates from Sony and box-office analysts reflect the typical 55-60 percent drop common for even the biggest MCU titles once initial hype subsides. Strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium pricing have helped stabilize holds, yet no last-minute surge appears likely to push the total near the 180 million mark before Sunday’s close. An upset above 180 million would require unprecedented audience retention or an unexpected boost from counter-programming weakness, neither of which current tracking supports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.8%
180-190m <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210m <1%
$60,476 Vol.
$60,476 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
100%
180-190m
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210m
<1%
210-220m
<1%
220m+
<1%
<180m 99.8%
180-190m <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210m <1%
$60,476 Vol.
$60,476 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
$41,098 Vol.
100%
180-190m
$5,434 Vol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
200-210m
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
210-220m
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
220m+
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance is tracking toward roughly $140 million domestically, cementing trader consensus around the sub-$180 million outcome. The film delivered a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend in late July, but early estimates from Sony and box-office analysts reflect the typical 55-60 percent drop common for even the biggest MCU titles once initial hype subsides. Strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium pricing have helped stabilize holds, yet no last-minute surge appears likely to push the total near the 180 million mark before Sunday’s close. An upset above 180 million would require unprecedented audience retention or an unexpected boost from counter-programming weakness, neither of which current tracking supports.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$60,476End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance is tracking toward roughly $140 million domestically, cementing trader consensus around the sub-$180 million outcome. The film delivered a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend in late July, but early estimates from Sony and box-office analysts reflect the typical 55-60 percent drop common for even the biggest MCU titles once initial hype subsides. Strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium pricing have helped stabilize holds, yet no last-minute surge appears likely to push the total near the 180 million mark before Sunday’s close. An upset above 180 million would require unprecedented audience retention or an unexpected boost from counter-programming weakness, neither of which current tracking supports.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$60,476End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s second-weekend performance is tracking toward roughly $140 million domestically, cementing trader consensus around the sub-$180 million outcome. The film delivered a record-shattering $360 million opening weekend in late July, but early estimates from Sony and box-office analysts reflect the typical 55-60 percent drop common for even the biggest MCU titles once initial hype subsides. Strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium pricing have helped stabilize holds, yet no last-minute surge appears likely to push the total near the 180 million mark before Sunday’s close. An upset above 180 million would require unprecedented audience retention or an unexpected boost from counter-programming weakness, neither of which current tracking supports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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