**Massive frontloaded demand from the record $360 million domestic opening weekend—second only to Avengers: Endgame—positions a steep second-weekend drop as the dominant outcome.** Blockbusters of this scale routinely see 45-60% declines as casual viewers exit after the debut, leaving core fans and family audiences. With the film already crossing $1 billion globally in under a week and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, traders see limited upside for a sub-40% drop that would push results above $190 million. The August 7-9 frame faces typical post-holiday softening and competition from holdovers, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$180 million bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
180-190m 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220m 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
86%
180-190m
10%
190-200m
4%
200-210m
1%
210-220m
1%
220m+
<1%
<180m 86%
180-190m 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220m 1.0%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
$10,049 Vol.
86%
180-190m
$1,091 Vol.
10%
190-200m
$1,380 Vol.
4%
200-210m
$1,061 Vol.
1%
210-220m
$1,282 Vol.
1%
220m+
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Massive frontloaded demand from the record $360 million domestic opening weekend—second only to Avengers: Endgame—positions a steep second-weekend drop as the dominant outcome.** Blockbusters of this scale routinely see 45-60% declines as casual viewers exit after the debut, leaving core fans and family audiences. With the film already crossing $1 billion globally in under a week and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, traders see limited upside for a sub-40% drop that would push results above $190 million. The August 7-9 frame faces typical post-holiday softening and competition from holdovers, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$180 million bracket.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$17,481End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Massive frontloaded demand from the record $360 million domestic opening weekend—second only to Avengers: Endgame—positions a steep second-weekend drop as the dominant outcome.** Blockbusters of this scale routinely see 45-60% declines as casual viewers exit after the debut, leaving core fans and family audiences. With the film already crossing $1 billion globally in under a week and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, traders see limited upside for a sub-40% drop that would push results above $190 million. The August 7-9 frame faces typical post-holiday softening and competition from holdovers, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$180 million bracket.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,481End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Massive frontloaded demand from the record $360 million domestic opening weekend—second only to Avengers: Endgame—positions a steep second-weekend drop as the dominant outcome.** Blockbusters of this scale routinely see 45-60% declines as casual viewers exit after the debut, leaving core fans and family audiences. With the film already crossing $1 billion globally in under a week and strong word-of-mouth sustaining interest, traders see limited upside for a sub-40% drop that would push results above $190 million. The August 7-9 frame faces typical post-holiday softening and competition from holdovers, reinforcing the market’s heavy weighting toward the sub-$180 million bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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