Incumbent Democrat James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee John Peterson won his party’s primary with 74 percent. The district, which encompasses parts of the Black Belt, Columbia, and North Charleston, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts in the state Senate earlier in 2026 preserved existing boundaries favorable to Democrats. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s partisan voter index, Clyburn’s decades-long incumbency, and limited Republican prospects in the general election on November 3. A late-breaking development such as a health event or major scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,636 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$16,224 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee John Peterson won his party’s primary with 74 percent. The district, which encompasses parts of the Black Belt, Columbia, and North Charleston, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts in the state Senate earlier in 2026 preserved existing boundaries favorable to Democrats. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s partisan voter index, Clyburn’s decades-long incumbency, and limited Republican prospects in the general election on November 3. A late-breaking development such as a health event or major scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$34,860End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee John Peterson won his party’s primary with 74 percent. The district, which encompasses parts of the Black Belt, Columbia, and North Charleston, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts in the state Senate earlier in 2026 preserved existing boundaries favorable to Democrats. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s partisan voter index, Clyburn’s decades-long incumbency, and limited Republican prospects in the general election on November 3. A late-breaking development such as a health event or major scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,860End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat James Clyburn secured the Democratic nomination for South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee John Peterson won his party’s primary with 74 percent. The district, which encompasses parts of the Black Belt, Columbia, and North Charleston, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Failed mid-decade redistricting attempts in the state Senate earlier in 2026 preserved existing boundaries favorable to Democrats. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s partisan voter index, Clyburn’s decades-long incumbency, and limited Republican prospects in the general election on November 3. A late-breaking development such as a health event or major scandal involving the incumbent could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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