The heavily Democratic tilt of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, rated D+20 or stronger by partisan voting indexes and labeled Solid Democratic by election forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced as her general-election opponent in a district that delivered the Democrat nearly 69 percent in 2024. Limited fundraising or visibility for Republican challengers and the absence of major recent scandals or redistricting changes have kept probabilities stable. Late national political shifts, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$11,389 ปริมาณ
$11,389 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$11,389 ปริมาณ
$11,389 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,214 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$1,174 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, rated D+20 or stronger by partisan voting indexes and labeled Solid Democratic by election forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced as her general-election opponent in a district that delivered the Democrat nearly 69 percent in 2024. Limited fundraising or visibility for Republican challengers and the absence of major recent scandals or redistricting changes have kept probabilities stable. Late national political shifts, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,389วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, rated D+20 or stronger by partisan voting indexes and labeled Solid Democratic by election forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced as her general-election opponent in a district that delivered the Democrat nearly 69 percent in 2024. Limited fundraising or visibility for Republican challengers and the absence of major recent scandals or redistricting changes have kept probabilities stable. Late national political shifts, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,389วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic tilt of Oregon’s 1st congressional district, rated D+20 or stronger by partisan voting indexes and labeled Solid Democratic by election forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote, while Republican Barbara Kahl advanced as her general-election opponent in a district that delivered the Democrat nearly 69 percent in 2024. Limited fundraising or visibility for Republican challengers and the absence of major recent scandals or redistricting changes have kept probabilities stable. Late national political shifts, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge could still narrow the margin before the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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