Skip to main content
icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?
Finance·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI files IPO by...?

icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?
Finance·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI files IPO by...?

$74,687 Vol.

Jun 6, 2026
Polymarket

$74,687 Vol.

Polymarket

May 22

$50,527 Vol.

No

May 26

$2,722 Vol.

No

May 29

$5,735 Vol.

No

June 5

$15,703 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations center on confidential draft filings with regulators, supported by underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, following the company's May 2026 legal victory over co-founder Elon Musk that cleared a key hurdle. Targeting a potential September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut at valuations up to $1 trillion with roughly $60 billion in proceeds, the AI leader reported approximately $20 billion in 2025 revenue amid ongoing heavy compute investments and internal discussions on public-company readiness. Market sentiment reflects broader 2026 tech-IPO momentum, with timing sensitive to equity-market conditions, regulatory reviews, and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$74,687
End Date
Jun 6, 2026
Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations center on confidential draft filings with regulators, supported by underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, following the company's May 2026 legal victory over co-founder Elon Musk that cleared a key hurdle. Targeting a potential September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut at valuations up to $1 trillion with roughly $60 billion in proceeds, the AI leader reported approximately $20 billion in 2025 revenue amid ongoing heavy compute investments and internal discussions on public-company readiness. Market sentiment reflects broader 2026 tech-IPO momentum, with timing sensitive to equity-market conditions, regulatory reviews, and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$74,687
End Date
Jun 6, 2026
Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

71%
icon for OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

57%
icon for OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

83%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI files IPO by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 22" at 0%, followed by "May 26" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI files IPO by...?" has generated $74.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI files IPO by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "OpenAI files IPO by...?" is "May 22" at just 0%, with "May 26" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI files IPO by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.