SpaceX’s record IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise about $75 billion and target a $1.75 trillion valuation ahead of a planned Nasdaq listing around June 12 under ticker SPCX, anchors trader expectations. Strong demand during the accelerated roadshow, fueled by Starlink’s subscriber growth and revenue contribution exceeding $11 billion in 2025 alongside Falcon and Starship launch cadence, supports the 61.5% implied probability for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. The February merger with xAI and prior private tenders reaching $1.25 trillion have already embedded premium multiples, while the fixed-price structure and large retail allocation reduce typical post-IPO volatility risks. Upcoming first-day trading and any greenshoe exercise remain the key near-term catalysts that could push the outcome higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0T+ 62%
1.8T–2.0T 19%
1.6T–1.8T 11.1%
1.4T–1.6T 4.6%
$1,291,773 Vol.
$1,291,773 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
No IPO before 2028
1%
<1.0T
1%
1.0T–1.2T
1%
1.2T–1.4T
1%
1.4T–1.6T
5%
1.6T–1.8T
11%
1.8T–2.0T
19%
2.0T+
62%
2.0T+ 62%
1.8T–2.0T 19%
1.6T–1.8T 11.1%
1.4T–1.6T 4.6%
$1,291,773 Vol.
$1,291,773 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
No IPO before 2028
$225,558 Vol.
1%
<1.0T
$112,559 Vol.
1%
1.0T–1.2T
$82,901 Vol.
1%
1.2T–1.4T
$97,461 Vol.
1%
1.4T–1.6T
$150,037 Vol.
5%
1.6T–1.8T
$150,120 Vol.
11%
1.8T–2.0T
$131,073 Vol.
19%
2.0T+
$342,157 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s record IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise about $75 billion and target a $1.75 trillion valuation ahead of a planned Nasdaq listing around June 12 under ticker SPCX, anchors trader expectations. Strong demand during the accelerated roadshow, fueled by Starlink’s subscriber growth and revenue contribution exceeding $11 billion in 2025 alongside Falcon and Starship launch cadence, supports the 61.5% implied probability for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. The February merger with xAI and prior private tenders reaching $1.25 trillion have already embedded premium multiples, while the fixed-price structure and large retail allocation reduce typical post-IPO volatility risks. Upcoming first-day trading and any greenshoe exercise remain the key near-term catalysts that could push the outcome higher.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,291,773End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s record IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise about $75 billion and target a $1.75 trillion valuation ahead of a planned Nasdaq listing around June 12 under ticker SPCX, anchors trader expectations. Strong demand during the accelerated roadshow, fueled by Starlink’s subscriber growth and revenue contribution exceeding $11 billion in 2025 alongside Falcon and Starship launch cadence, supports the 61.5% implied probability for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. The February merger with xAI and prior private tenders reaching $1.25 trillion have already embedded premium multiples, while the fixed-price structure and large retail allocation reduce typical post-IPO volatility risks. Upcoming first-day trading and any greenshoe exercise remain the key near-term catalysts that could push the outcome higher.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,291,773End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s record IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise about $75 billion and target a $1.75 trillion valuation ahead of a planned Nasdaq listing around June 12 under ticker SPCX, anchors trader expectations. Strong demand during the accelerated roadshow, fueled by Starlink’s subscriber growth and revenue contribution exceeding $11 billion in 2025 alongside Falcon and Starship launch cadence, supports the 61.5% implied probability for a closing market cap above $2 trillion. The February merger with xAI and prior private tenders reaching $1.25 trillion have already embedded premium multiples, while the fixed-price structure and large retail allocation reduce typical post-IPO volatility risks. Upcoming first-day trading and any greenshoe exercise remain the key near-term catalysts that could push the outcome higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions