Global seismic activity during the first days of June has remained near typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events, according to USGS catalogs, with no major clusters or large-magnitude outliers reported. Recent moderate quakes, including a 5.7 off the Oregon coast on June 3 and a 5.1 off Northern California shortly after, have added to the early tally without triggering aftershock sequences or regional upticks. This steady, distributed pattern—driven by routine plate-boundary tectonics—keeps trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 5–8 total events, reflecting the natural week-to-week variability in earthquake occurrence and the short remaining window before June 7 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
6 31%
≤5 29%
8 25%
7 19%
NEW
NEW
Jun 8, 2026
≤5
29%
6
34%
7
31%
8
25%
9
5%
>9
6%
6 31%
≤5 29%
8 25%
7 19%
NEW
NEW
Jun 8, 2026
≤5
$796 Vol.
29%
6
$40 Vol.
34%
7
$67 Vol.
31%
8
$51 Vol.
25%
9
$713 Vol.
5%
>9
$1,156 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity during the first days of June has remained near typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events, according to USGS catalogs, with no major clusters or large-magnitude outliers reported. Recent moderate quakes, including a 5.7 off the Oregon coast on June 3 and a 5.1 off Northern California shortly after, have added to the early tally without triggering aftershock sequences or regional upticks. This steady, distributed pattern—driven by routine plate-boundary tectonics—keeps trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 5–8 total events, reflecting the natural week-to-week variability in earthquake occurrence and the short remaining window before June 7 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$2,822End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity during the first days of June has remained near typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events, according to USGS catalogs, with no major clusters or large-magnitude outliers reported. Recent moderate quakes, including a 5.7 off the Oregon coast on June 3 and a 5.1 off Northern California shortly after, have added to the early tally without triggering aftershock sequences or regional upticks. This steady, distributed pattern—driven by routine plate-boundary tectonics—keeps trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 5–8 total events, reflecting the natural week-to-week variability in earthquake occurrence and the short remaining window before June 7 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$2,822End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity during the first days of June has remained near typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events, according to USGS catalogs, with no major clusters or large-magnitude outliers reported. Recent moderate quakes, including a 5.7 off the Oregon coast on June 3 and a 5.1 off Northern California shortly after, have added to the early tally without triggering aftershock sequences or regional upticks. This steady, distributed pattern—driven by routine plate-boundary tectonics—keeps trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 5–8 total events, reflecting the natural week-to-week variability in earthquake occurrence and the short remaining window before June 7 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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