OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following a March post-money valuation of $852 billion, remains the central driver of trader sentiment around any IPO market-cap threshold. Monthly revenue has reached $2 billion—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage that now exceeds 40 percent of the total—yet the company is not yet profitable, creating uncertainty over the multiple the public market will assign. Recent funding rounds and competitive pressure from Anthropic have lifted private marks rapidly, but reports of a possible 2027 listing delay to pursue a $1 trillion valuation introduce timing risk. Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, enterprise contract momentum, and broader tech-IPO market conditions that could influence the final closing capitalization relative to recent private benchmarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,519,272 Vol.
$1,519,272 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
86%
$1T
76%
$1.2T
61%
$1.4T
45%
$1.6T
42%
$1,519,272 Vol.
$1,519,272 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
$107,327 Vol.
86%
$1T
$1,046,738 Vol.
76%
$1.2T
$248,684 Vol.
61%
$1.4T
$67,569 Vol.
45%
$1.6T
$48,953 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following a March post-money valuation of $852 billion, remains the central driver of trader sentiment around any IPO market-cap threshold. Monthly revenue has reached $2 billion—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage that now exceeds 40 percent of the total—yet the company is not yet profitable, creating uncertainty over the multiple the public market will assign. Recent funding rounds and competitive pressure from Anthropic have lifted private marks rapidly, but reports of a possible 2027 listing delay to pursue a $1 trillion valuation introduce timing risk. Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, enterprise contract momentum, and broader tech-IPO market conditions that could influence the final closing capitalization relative to recent private benchmarks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,519,272End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following a March post-money valuation of $852 billion, remains the central driver of trader sentiment around any IPO market-cap threshold. Monthly revenue has reached $2 billion—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage that now exceeds 40 percent of the total—yet the company is not yet profitable, creating uncertainty over the multiple the public market will assign. Recent funding rounds and competitive pressure from Anthropic have lifted private marks rapidly, but reports of a possible 2027 listing delay to pursue a $1 trillion valuation introduce timing risk. Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, enterprise contract momentum, and broader tech-IPO market conditions that could influence the final closing capitalization relative to recent private benchmarks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,519,272End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following a March post-money valuation of $852 billion, remains the central driver of trader sentiment around any IPO market-cap threshold. Monthly revenue has reached $2 billion—driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage that now exceeds 40 percent of the total—yet the company is not yet profitable, creating uncertainty over the multiple the public market will assign. Recent funding rounds and competitive pressure from Anthropic have lifted private marks rapidly, but reports of a possible 2027 listing delay to pursue a $1 trillion valuation introduce timing risk. Key upcoming catalysts include further model releases, enterprise contract momentum, and broader tech-IPO market conditions that could influence the final closing capitalization relative to recent private benchmarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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