Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Malliotakis’s prior victories. She faced no Republican primary opposition after the June 23 contest, while Democrat Michael DeCillis emerged from his primary with limited resources. A Supreme Court stay in March preserved existing district lines that favor the GOP, and Malliotakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.7 million in cash on hand. A Democratic upset would require a significant national environment shift, late-breaking scandal, or turnout surge capable of overcoming the established structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$26,046 Vol.
$26,046 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$26,046 Vol.
$26,046 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,843 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$13,203 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Malliotakis’s prior victories. She faced no Republican primary opposition after the June 23 contest, while Democrat Michael DeCillis emerged from his primary with limited resources. A Supreme Court stay in March preserved existing district lines that favor the GOP, and Malliotakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.7 million in cash on hand. A Democratic upset would require a significant national environment shift, late-breaking scandal, or turnout surge capable of overcoming the established structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$26,046End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Malliotakis’s prior victories. She faced no Republican primary opposition after the June 23 contest, while Democrat Michael DeCillis emerged from his primary with limited resources. A Supreme Court stay in March preserved existing district lines that favor the GOP, and Malliotakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.7 million in cash on hand. A Democratic upset would require a significant national environment shift, late-breaking scandal, or turnout surge capable of overcoming the established structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,046End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Malliotakis’s prior victories. She faced no Republican primary opposition after the June 23 contest, while Democrat Michael DeCillis emerged from his primary with limited resources. A Supreme Court stay in March preserved existing district lines that favor the GOP, and Malliotakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.7 million in cash on hand. A Democratic upset would require a significant national environment shift, late-breaking scandal, or turnout surge capable of overcoming the established structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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