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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

icon for Next Prime Minister of Sweden
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 89%

Ulf Kristersson 11%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$4,162,689 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 89%

Ulf Kristersson 11%

Jimmie Åkesson <1%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$4,162,689 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$277,084 Vol.

89%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$228,257 Vol.

11%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,484,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$407,739 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$156,975 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$970,069 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$94,140 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$100,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$146,162 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$297,537 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magdalena Andersson leads the Social Democratic opposition bloc, which maintains a polling advantage of 4.7 to 6.8 points over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Tidö parties and Sweden Democrats support ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, and others show the opposition bloc at 51–52 percent, narrowing from larger June margins but still projected to secure enough seats for a government shift. Campaign dynamics center on cost-of-living pressures, crime, energy, and immigration, with a late-August school attack prompting temporary pauses in events. Kristersson’s bloc has gained modestly on stability messaging, yet the Liberals remain below the 4 percent threshold. Andersson’s position as the largest party’s leader underpins the market’s strong implied probability for her as the next prime minister, while smaller-party figures face structural barriers from bloc arithmetic and historical confirmation patterns.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,162,689
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magdalena Andersson leads the Social Democratic opposition bloc, which maintains a polling advantage of 4.7 to 6.8 points over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s Tidö parties and Sweden Democrats support ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Ipsos, and others show the opposition bloc at 51–52 percent, narrowing from larger June margins but still projected to secure enough seats for a government shift. Campaign dynamics center on cost-of-living pressures, crime, energy, and immigration, with a late-August school attack prompting temporary pauses in events. Kristersson’s bloc has gained modestly on stability messaging, yet the Liberals remain below the 4 percent threshold. Andersson’s position as the largest party’s leader underpins the market’s strong implied probability for her as the next prime minister, while smaller-party figures face structural barriers from bloc arithmetic and historical confirmation patterns.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,162,689
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 89%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Sweden," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.