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icon for Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?

Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?

icon for Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?

Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?

Aug 31

Aug 31

Up

9% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Up

9% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The upcoming release of Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tins on August 28 is the main catalyst behind the strong 91.5% market-implied probability that Mega Gengar ex prices will trend down by August 31. This product wave is expected to boost available supply of chase cards from the 2026 set, including popular Mega Gengar ex variants, mirroring how similar restocks have historically tempered early hype and collector premiums in the Pokémon TCG market. Recent price surges for special illustration rares reflect strong initial demand and critical buzz around the expansion's artwork, yet traders see limited room for further upside once fresh product hits shelves. A realistic challenge could emerge if demand spikes from tournament play or social media momentum outpaces the new supply.

This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.

This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.

This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.

If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$3,100
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://app.getcollectr.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The upcoming release of Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tins on August 28 is the main catalyst behind the strong 91.5% market-implied probability that Mega Gengar ex prices will trend down by August 31. This product wave is expected to boost available supply of chase cards from the 2026 set, including popular Mega Gengar ex variants, mirroring how similar restocks have historically tempered early hype and collector premiums in the Pokémon TCG market. Recent price surges for special illustration rares reflect strong initial demand and critical buzz around the expansion's artwork, yet traders see limited room for further upside once fresh product hits shelves. A realistic challenge could emerge if demand spikes from tournament play or social media momentum outpaces the new supply.

This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.

This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.

This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.

This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.

If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$3,100
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://app.getcollectr.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76. This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76. This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered. If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?" is "Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.