**Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) faces downward pressure heading into August 31, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to a price decline.** The primary driver is the August 28 release of the official Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly adds fresh supply of cards from the same expansion just days before the market snapshot. This follows a sharp July correction where one hyper-rare variant already fell more than $100 amid rising listings and softer demand. Broader 2026 market dynamics reinforce the consensus: post-release hype for the Mega Evolution line has cooled, with multiple Charizard ex variants showing softening secondary-market prices as collectors shift focus to newer product drops. The nearby First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3 (August 7) has further diverted attention and spending. While Charizard remains a cultural staple with strong long-term collector interest, the immediate supply influx and recent sales data point to continued short-term softening rather than a rebound by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMega Charizard Y ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
Mega Charizard Y ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
Up
20% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
Up
20% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $421.13.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) faces downward pressure heading into August 31, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to a price decline.** The primary driver is the August 28 release of the official Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly adds fresh supply of cards from the same expansion just days before the market snapshot. This follows a sharp July correction where one hyper-rare variant already fell more than $100 amid rising listings and softer demand.
Broader 2026 market dynamics reinforce the consensus: post-release hype for the Mega Evolution line has cooled, with multiple Charizard ex variants showing softening secondary-market prices as collectors shift focus to newer product drops. The nearby First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3 (August 7) has further diverted attention and spending. While Charizard remains a cultural staple with strong long-term collector interest, the immediate supply influx and recent sales data point to continued short-term softening rather than a rebound by month-end.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $421.13.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Volume
$518End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $421.13.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) faces downward pressure heading into August 31, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to a price decline.** The primary driver is the August 28 release of the official Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly adds fresh supply of cards from the same expansion just days before the market snapshot. This follows a sharp July correction where one hyper-rare variant already fell more than $100 amid rising listings and softer demand.
Broader 2026 market dynamics reinforce the consensus: post-release hype for the Mega Evolution line has cooled, with multiple Charizard ex variants showing softening secondary-market prices as collectors shift focus to newer product drops. The nearby First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3 (August 7) has further diverted attention and spending. While Charizard remains a cultural staple with strong long-term collector interest, the immediate supply influx and recent sales data point to continued short-term softening rather than a rebound by month-end.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $421.13.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $421.13.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $421.13.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$518End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) faces downward pressure heading into August 31, with traders assigning an 80.5% implied probability to a price decline.** The primary driver is the August 28 release of the official Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly adds fresh supply of cards from the same expansion just days before the market snapshot. This follows a sharp July correction where one hyper-rare variant already fell more than $100 amid rising listings and softer demand. Broader 2026 market dynamics reinforce the consensus: post-release hype for the Mega Evolution line has cooled, with multiple Charizard ex variants showing softening secondary-market prices as collectors shift focus to newer product drops. The nearby First Partner Illustration Collection Series 3 (August 7) has further diverted attention and spending. While Charizard remains a cultural staple with strong long-term collector interest, the immediate supply influx and recent sales data point to continued short-term softening rather than a rebound by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions