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icon for Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

icon for Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Simeon Barclay 44%

Marguerite Humeau 44%

Tanoa Sasraku 44%

Kira Freije 43%

Polymarket
NEW

Simeon Barclay 44%

Marguerite Humeau 44%

Tanoa Sasraku 44%

Kira Freije 43%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Simeon Barclay

Simeon Barclay

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marguerite Humeau

Marguerite Humeau

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tanoa Sasraku

Tanoa Sasraku

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Kira Freije

Kira Freije

$0 Vol.

43%

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 shortlist announcement established a tight four-way contest for the Turner Prize, with trader-implied odds clustered around 43% for Simeon Barclay, Marguerite Humeau, Kira Freije, and Tanoa Sasraku. Their practices—spanning spoken-word performance rooted in northern English identity, cinematic sculptural installations exploring ecology and belief, life-size figurative sculptures incorporating personal casting, and object-based works engaging geopolitics and corporate culture—offer distinct appeals that align with varying jury priorities in sculpture and installation. No additional precursors or major reviews have shifted momentum since the announcement, leaving the race balanced ahead of the September exhibition opening at MIMA and the December 10 ceremony.

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The April 2026 shortlist announcement established a tight four-way contest for the Turner Prize, with trader-implied odds clustered around 43% for Simeon Barclay, Marguerite Humeau, Kira Freije, and Tanoa Sasraku. Their practices—spanning spoken-word performance rooted in northern English identity, cinematic sculptural installations exploring ecology and belief, life-size figurative sculptures incorporating personal casting, and object-based works engaging geopolitics and corporate culture—offer distinct appeals that align with varying jury priorities in sculpture and installation. No additional precursors or major reviews have shifted momentum since the announcement, leaving the race balanced ahead of the September exhibition opening at MIMA and the December 10 ceremony.

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has been declared by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple listed artists are jointly awarded the Turner Prize 2026, this market will resolve in favor of the winning artist whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tate (https://www.tate.org.uk/) and the Turner Prize; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turner Prize 2026 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Simeon Barclay" at 44%, followed by "Marguerite Humeau" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Turner Prize 2026 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Turner Prize 2026 Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turner Prize 2026 Winner" is "Simeon Barclay" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marguerite Humeau" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turner Prize 2026 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.