Latest forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah on September 17 will likely settle near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 59% implied probability. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, light winds, and seasonal late-summer conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Recent observations show daily lows ranging 28–31°C through mid-September, consistent with climatological baselines and current stable atmospheric patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any downward revision requiring stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than projected. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 17?
24°C or below 99%
31°C 97%
26°C 12%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
24°C or below
99%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
22%
31°C
97%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 99%
31°C 97%
26°C 12%
27°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
12%
27°C
$125 Vol.
9%
28°C
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
19%
30°C
$226 Vol.
22%
31°C
$96 Vol.
97%
32°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah on September 17 will likely settle near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 59% implied probability. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, light winds, and seasonal late-summer conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Recent observations show daily lows ranging 28–31°C through mid-September, consistent with climatological baselines and current stable atmospheric patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any downward revision requiring stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than projected. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,446End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah on September 17 will likely settle near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 59% implied probability. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, light winds, and seasonal late-summer conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Recent observations show daily lows ranging 28–31°C through mid-September, consistent with climatological baselines and current stable atmospheric patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any downward revision requiring stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than projected. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,446End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah on September 17 will likely settle near 30–31°C, aligning with the market's leading 31°C outcome at 59% implied probability. Persistent high humidity from the Red Sea, light winds, and seasonal late-summer conditions limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to inland areas. Recent observations show daily lows ranging 28–31°C through mid-September, consistent with climatological baselines and current stable atmospheric patterns. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any downward revision requiring stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than projected. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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