**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, frequently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and often tying or edging Likud.** Recent surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and others place it between 21-25 seats, reflecting voter focus on security accountability after October 7, national service requirements, and government reform. The party's gains have come partly at the expense of other opposition lists, while Likud has declined amid coalition strains and war-related fatigue. Fragmentation among smaller right-wing and centrist parties, including threshold risks for groups like Zionist Home and Religious Zionism, keeps seat projections volatile and contributes to the market's tight clustering around 20-23 seats. Upcoming list finalization deadlines and any late mergers or shifts in turnout among undecided voters could widen or narrow Yashar's range before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
30+ 37%
26-27 34%
22-23 32%
24-25 32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
29%
20-21
31%
22-23
32%
24-25
32%
26-27
34%
28-29
32%
30+
37%
30+ 37%
26-27 34%
22-23 32%
24-25 32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
29%
20-21
$0 Vol.
31%
22-23
$0 Vol.
32%
24-25
$0 Vol.
32%
26-27
$0 Vol.
34%
28-29
$0 Vol.
32%
30+
$0 Vol.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, frequently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and often tying or edging Likud.** Recent surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and others place it between 21-25 seats, reflecting voter focus on security accountability after October 7, national service requirements, and government reform. The party's gains have come partly at the expense of other opposition lists, while Likud has declined amid coalition strains and war-related fatigue. Fragmentation among smaller right-wing and centrist parties, including threshold risks for groups like Zionist Home and Religious Zionism, keeps seat projections volatile and contributes to the market's tight clustering around 20-23 seats. Upcoming list finalization deadlines and any late mergers or shifts in turnout among undecided voters could widen or narrow Yashar's range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, frequently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and often tying or edging Likud.** Recent surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and others place it between 21-25 seats, reflecting voter focus on security accountability after October 7, national service requirements, and government reform. The party's gains have come partly at the expense of other opposition lists, while Likud has declined amid coalition strains and war-related fatigue. Fragmentation among smaller right-wing and centrist parties, including threshold risks for groups like Zionist Home and Religious Zionism, keeps seat projections volatile and contributes to the market's tight clustering around 20-23 seats. Upcoming list finalization deadlines and any late mergers or shifts in turnout among undecided voters could widen or narrow Yashar's range before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in opinion polls ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, frequently polling in the low-to-mid 20s and often tying or edging Likud.** Recent surveys from Channel 12, Maariv, and others place it between 21-25 seats, reflecting voter focus on security accountability after October 7, national service requirements, and government reform. The party's gains have come partly at the expense of other opposition lists, while Likud has declined amid coalition strains and war-related fatigue. Fragmentation among smaller right-wing and centrist parties, including threshold risks for groups like Zionist Home and Religious Zionism, keeps seat projections volatile and contributes to the market's tight clustering around 20-23 seats. Upcoming list finalization deadlines and any late mergers or shifts in turnout among undecided voters could widen or narrow Yashar's range before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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