Official surface observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, consistent with IMGW and European model consensus, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 17 under cooler northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and limited solar insolation that suppressed daytime heating near late-summer climatological averages. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 24°C outcome, as traders incorporate real-time station readings that leave little room for alternative results. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include post hoc quality-control revisions to the official record, differences in station siting or rounding conventions, or rare discrepancies between automated and manual reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 17?
24°C 100.0%
$37,970 Vol.
$37,970 Vol.
24°C
100%
24°C 100.0%
$37,970 Vol.
$37,970 Vol.
24°C
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official surface observations from Warsaw meteorological stations, consistent with IMGW and European model consensus, recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on August 17 under cooler northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and limited solar insolation that suppressed daytime heating near late-summer climatological averages. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 24°C outcome, as traders incorporate real-time station readings that leave little room for alternative results. Realistic challenges remain minimal but could include post hoc quality-control revisions to the official record, differences in station siting or rounding conventions, or rare discrepancies between automated and manual reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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