Current short-term forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s July 21 maximum, with 34°C close behind, reflecting trader consensus on persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies that favor daytime heating above the July climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show elevated temperatures consistent with this pattern, though ensemble spreads and potential for slight onshore breeze or timing shifts introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the exact value, with updated model runs expected daily until the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 21?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 21?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,263 Vol.
$39,263 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,263 Vol.
$39,263 Vol.
Jul 21, 2026
30°C or below
$553 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,149 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,164 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,522 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$7,319 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,083 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,799 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,761 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,212 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,200 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,501 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s July 21 maximum, with 34°C close behind, reflecting trader consensus on persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies that favor daytime heating above the July climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show elevated temperatures consistent with this pattern, though ensemble spreads and potential for slight onshore breeze or timing shifts introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the exact value, with updated model runs expected daily until the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$39,263End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s July 21 maximum, with 34°C close behind, reflecting trader consensus on persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies that favor daytime heating above the July climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show elevated temperatures consistent with this pattern, though ensemble spreads and potential for slight onshore breeze or timing shifts introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the exact value, with updated model runs expected daily until the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,263End Date
Jul 21, 2026Market Opened
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current short-term forecasts from regional models and the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s July 21 maximum, with 34°C close behind, reflecting trader consensus on persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies that favor daytime heating above the July climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Recent observations show elevated temperatures consistent with this pattern, though ensemble spreads and potential for slight onshore breeze or timing shifts introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Official station readings at resolution time will determine the exact value, with updated model runs expected daily until the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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