Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on July 23?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 23?
15°C 34%
14°C 34%
16°C 22%
13°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
12%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 34%
14°C 34%
16°C 22%
13°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 23, 2026
11°C or below
$342 Vol.
1%
12°C
$133 Vol.
3%
13°C
$118 Vol.
12%
14°C
$380 Vol.
34%
15°C
$2,530 Vol.
34%
16°C
$154 Vol.
22%
17°C
$133 Vol.
5%
18°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,418End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,418End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Paris on July 23 clustered near 15–17 °C because short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds yielding minimums in that narrow band. Clearer intervals allow greater surface heat loss and could push readings toward 14–15 °C, while increased low-level moisture or a modest nocturnal breeze limits cooling and favors 16–17 °C. These thresholds sit close to the July climatological average low of roughly 15–16 °C at Paris-Montsouris, so modest shifts in model guidance on cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing keep the three central bins nearly tied. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours, plus official station verification, will resolve the spread.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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