Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on July 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 22?
25°C 46%
24°C 34%
26°C 17%
23°C 7%
NEW
$31,671 Vol.
NEW
$31,671 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
34%
25°C
46%
26°C
17%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 34%
26°C 17%
23°C 7%
NEW
$31,671 Vol.
NEW
$31,671 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
18°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,416 Vol.
1%
23°C
$4,470 Vol.
7%
24°C
$11,608 Vol.
34%
25°C
$5,169 Vol.
46%
26°C
$3,220 Vol.
17%
27°C
$3,191 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$1,492 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$31,671End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,671End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions