Official forecasts from CONAGUA and global models indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on July 22 amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover limiting daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28°C because variable moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, steering winds, and model spread in boundary-layer humidity create uncertainty around exact peak values on the Celsius scale. Historical July averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent regional patterns of scattered showers and modest subsidence have supported slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and 24-hour observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 22?
27°C 47%
26°C 23%
28°C 21%
25°C 7%
NEW
$14,491 Vol.
NEW
$14,491 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
47%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 23%
28°C 21%
25°C 7%
NEW
$14,491 Vol.
NEW
$14,491 Vol.
Jul 22, 2026
22°C or below
$4,377 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$543 Vol.
1%
24°C
$294 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,211 Vol.
7%
26°C
$784 Vol.
23%
27°C
$3,851 Vol.
47%
28°C
$1,176 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,287 Vol.
5%
30°C
$306 Vol.
1%
31°C
$312 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$350 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from CONAGUA and global models indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on July 22 amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover limiting daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28°C because variable moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, steering winds, and model spread in boundary-layer humidity create uncertainty around exact peak values on the Celsius scale. Historical July averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent regional patterns of scattered showers and modest subsidence have supported slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and 24-hour observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$14,491End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from CONAGUA and global models indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on July 22 amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover limiting daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28°C because variable moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, steering winds, and model spread in boundary-layer humidity create uncertainty around exact peak values on the Celsius scale. Historical July averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent regional patterns of scattered showers and modest subsidence have supported slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and 24-hour observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,491End Date
Jul 22, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from CONAGUA and global models indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on July 22 amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover limiting daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28°C because variable moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, steering winds, and model spread in boundary-layer humidity create uncertainty around exact peak values on the Celsius scale. Historical July averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent regional patterns of scattered showers and modest subsidence have supported slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and 24-hour observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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