Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 24?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 34%
94-95°F 19%
100-101°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
91°F or below
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
34%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 34%
94-95°F 19%
100-101°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
91°F or below
$13 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$13 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$43 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$39 Vol.
37%
98-99°F
$6 Vol.
34%
100-101°F
$8 Vol.
6%
102-103°F
$26 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$34 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$328 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$254 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$910End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$910End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between 96–97°F and 98–99°F for Dallas’s July 24 high because short-range models show a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry conditions with southerly flow. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster maximum temperatures around 97–100°F, consistent with the month’s climatological average near 103°F yet tempered by slightly lower dew points. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include afternoon mixing depth and any subtle cloud cover or wind shifts that could shave 1–2°F off peak readings. With the market resolving on official observations, traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical analogs for late-July heat under similar synoptic patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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