Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 26?
38°C 29%
39°C 24%
37°C 17%
40°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
9%
37°C
17%
38°C
29%
39°C
24%
40°C
14%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 29%
39°C 24%
37°C 17%
40°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
33°C or below
$346 Vol.
1%
34°C
$351 Vol.
2%
35°C
$364 Vol.
4%
36°C
$355 Vol.
9%
37°C
$329 Vol.
17%
38°C
$409 Vol.
29%
39°C
$698 Vol.
24%
40°C
$1,825 Vol.
14%
41°C
$512 Vol.
4%
42°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,447End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,447End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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