Trader consensus around 33–35°C for Karachi’s July 26 high reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty two days out. The Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models show the southwest monsoon delivering variable cloud cover, sea-breeze modulation from the Arabian Sea, and scattered convective showers that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs indicate near-normal humidity and light winds, keeping temperatures close to the July climatological mean of roughly 34°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of monsoon activity remain possible. Official updates through July 25–26 will provide the next decisive data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 26?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 26?
34°C 33%
35°C 28%
33°C 24%
36°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 33%
35°C 28%
33°C 24%
36°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 26, 2026
28°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$92 Vol.
1%
30°C
$270 Vol.
2%
31°C
$87 Vol.
4%
32°C
$115 Vol.
9%
33°C
$131 Vol.
24%
34°C
$96 Vol.
33%
35°C
$150 Vol.
28%
36°C
$90 Vol.
11%
37°C
$31 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$31 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 33–35°C for Karachi’s July 26 high reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty two days out. The Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models show the southwest monsoon delivering variable cloud cover, sea-breeze modulation from the Arabian Sea, and scattered convective showers that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs indicate near-normal humidity and light winds, keeping temperatures close to the July climatological mean of roughly 34°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of monsoon activity remain possible. Official updates through July 25–26 will provide the next decisive data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,402End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 33–35°C for Karachi’s July 26 high reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty two days out. The Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models show the southwest monsoon delivering variable cloud cover, sea-breeze modulation from the Arabian Sea, and scattered convective showers that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs indicate near-normal humidity and light winds, keeping temperatures close to the July climatological mean of roughly 34°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of monsoon activity remain possible. Official updates through July 25–26 will provide the next decisive data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,402End Date
Jul 26, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 33–35°C for Karachi’s July 26 high reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty two days out. The Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models show the southwest monsoon delivering variable cloud cover, sea-breeze modulation from the Arabian Sea, and scattered convective showers that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Recent model runs indicate near-normal humidity and light winds, keeping temperatures close to the July climatological mean of roughly 34°C, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of monsoon activity remain possible. Official updates through July 25–26 will provide the next decisive data points for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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