The EB Games-exclusive Gengar Cosmos Holo promo from the 2026 Perfect Order set sits at a razor-thin 50% implied probability for an August 31 price move higher or lower because recent TCGPlayer and eBay data show raw copies stabilizing around $180–195 after an initial post-release surge. Low print-run scarcity—roughly 30,000 copies cleared from Australian stores in hours—continues to underpin collector demand and Gengar chase appeal, yet modest recent softening and typical promo profit-taking create offsetting pressure. With the resolution window now just days away, fresh sales velocity, any late-August listings, or broader Pokémon TCG market momentum could break the deadlock decisively before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Up/Down on August 31?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $185.44.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive (Miscellaneous Cards & Products, Rare 050/088) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $185.44.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Resolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The EB Games-exclusive Gengar Cosmos Holo promo from the 2026 Perfect Order set sits at a razor-thin 50% implied probability for an August 31 price move higher or lower because recent TCGPlayer and eBay data show raw copies stabilizing around $180–195 after an initial post-release surge. Low print-run scarcity—roughly 30,000 copies cleared from Australian stores in hours—continues to underpin collector demand and Gengar chase appeal, yet modest recent softening and typical promo profit-taking create offsetting pressure. With the resolution window now just days away, fresh sales velocity, any late-August listings, or broader Pokémon TCG market momentum could break the deadlock decisively before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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