Recent economist forecasts center the August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading near 0.2%, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability after July’s 0.2% print and June’s flat outcome. Analysts at TD Securities project 0.24%, citing reacceleration in shelter components, transportation services, and a modest rebound in core goods offset by softer tariff-exposed categories, while services ex-shelter remain sticky. Energy price gains are expected to lift the headline figure but leave core measures contained, supporting the view that three-month annualized core inflation continues its gradual decline toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The September 11 release precedes the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where officials have signaled that further disinflation evidence could favor holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.2% 54%
0.3% 29%
0.1% 16%
0.4% 5.1%
$10,502 Vol.
$10,502 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤0.0%
5%
0.1%
16%
0.2%
54%
0.3%
29%
0.4%
5%
0.5%
2%
0.6%+
1%
0.2% 54%
0.3% 29%
0.1% 16%
0.4% 5.1%
$10,502 Vol.
$10,502 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤0.0%
$397 Vol.
5%
0.1%
$928 Vol.
16%
0.2%
$6,374 Vol.
54%
0.3%
$1,814 Vol.
29%
0.4%
$325 Vol.
5%
0.5%
$344 Vol.
2%
0.6%+
$321 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent economist forecasts center the August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading near 0.2%, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability after July’s 0.2% print and June’s flat outcome. Analysts at TD Securities project 0.24%, citing reacceleration in shelter components, transportation services, and a modest rebound in core goods offset by softer tariff-exposed categories, while services ex-shelter remain sticky. Energy price gains are expected to lift the headline figure but leave core measures contained, supporting the view that three-month annualized core inflation continues its gradual decline toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The September 11 release precedes the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where officials have signaled that further disinflation evidence could favor holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Volume
$10,502End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent economist forecasts center the August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading near 0.2%, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability after July’s 0.2% print and June’s flat outcome. Analysts at TD Securities project 0.24%, citing reacceleration in shelter components, transportation services, and a modest rebound in core goods offset by softer tariff-exposed categories, while services ex-shelter remain sticky. Energy price gains are expected to lift the headline figure but leave core measures contained, supporting the view that three-month annualized core inflation continues its gradual decline toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The September 11 release precedes the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where officials have signaled that further disinflation evidence could favor holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$10,502End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economist forecasts center the August 2026 core CPI month-over-month reading near 0.2%, aligning with the 53.5% market-implied probability after July’s 0.2% print and June’s flat outcome. Analysts at TD Securities project 0.24%, citing reacceleration in shelter components, transportation services, and a modest rebound in core goods offset by softer tariff-exposed categories, while services ex-shelter remain sticky. Energy price gains are expected to lift the headline figure but leave core measures contained, supporting the view that three-month annualized core inflation continues its gradual decline toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. The September 11 release precedes the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where officials have signaled that further disinflation evidence could favor holding the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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