**AfD secured the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 election with roughly 44% of the vote and 39 of 83 seats, well ahead of the CDU.** This outcome reflected sustained eastern German support driven by immigration concerns, economic pressures, and dissatisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz's federal coalition. National polls now place AfD at around 29%, ahead of the CDU/CSU on 18-20%, underscoring the party's momentum ahead of the September 20 contests in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys show AfD leading at 36-37% versus the SPD near 35%, positioning it to claim the most seats in that eastern state as well. Berlin presents a different profile, with AfD polling around 20% while other parties such as the SPD, Greens, or Left remain competitive for the top spot. Trader consensus at 74% for exactly two September elections aligns with AfD's strong eastern performance and more limited prospects in the capital, where structural and demographic factors favor established parties. Remaining uncertainty centers on final turnout and whether late shifts in the two pending races alter the seat distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2 74%
1 16.7%
3 9.0%
0 <1%
$143,755 Vol.
$143,755 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
1%
1
17%
2
74%
3
9%
2 74%
1 16.7%
3 9.0%
0 <1%
$143,755 Vol.
$143,755 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$14,848 Vol.
1%
1
$32,218 Vol.
17%
2
$60,210 Vol.
74%
3
$36,479 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. **AfD secured the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 election with roughly 44% of the vote and 39 of 83 seats, well ahead of the CDU.** This outcome reflected sustained eastern German support driven by immigration concerns, economic pressures, and dissatisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz's federal coalition. National polls now place AfD at around 29%, ahead of the CDU/CSU on 18-20%, underscoring the party's momentum ahead of the September 20 contests in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin.
In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys show AfD leading at 36-37% versus the SPD near 35%, positioning it to claim the most seats in that eastern state as well. Berlin presents a different profile, with AfD polling around 20% while other parties such as the SPD, Greens, or Left remain competitive for the top spot. Trader consensus at 74% for exactly two September elections aligns with AfD's strong eastern performance and more limited prospects in the capital, where structural and demographic factors favor established parties. Remaining uncertainty centers on final turnout and whether late shifts in the two pending races alter the seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$143,755End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. **AfD secured the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 election with roughly 44% of the vote and 39 of 83 seats, well ahead of the CDU.** This outcome reflected sustained eastern German support driven by immigration concerns, economic pressures, and dissatisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz's federal coalition. National polls now place AfD at around 29%, ahead of the CDU/CSU on 18-20%, underscoring the party's momentum ahead of the September 20 contests in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin.
In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys show AfD leading at 36-37% versus the SPD near 35%, positioning it to claim the most seats in that eastern state as well. Berlin presents a different profile, with AfD polling around 20% while other parties such as the SPD, Greens, or Left remain competitive for the top spot. Trader consensus at 74% for exactly two September elections aligns with AfD's strong eastern performance and more limited prospects in the capital, where structural and demographic factors favor established parties. Remaining uncertainty centers on final turnout and whether late shifts in the two pending races alter the seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Volume
$143,755End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**AfD secured the most seats in Saxony-Anhalt's September 6 election with roughly 44% of the vote and 39 of 83 seats, well ahead of the CDU.** This outcome reflected sustained eastern German support driven by immigration concerns, economic pressures, and dissatisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz's federal coalition. National polls now place AfD at around 29%, ahead of the CDU/CSU on 18-20%, underscoring the party's momentum ahead of the September 20 contests in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin. In Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, recent surveys show AfD leading at 36-37% versus the SPD near 35%, positioning it to claim the most seats in that eastern state as well. Berlin presents a different profile, with AfD polling around 20% while other parties such as the SPD, Greens, or Left remain competitive for the top spot. Trader consensus at 74% for exactly two September elections aligns with AfD's strong eastern performance and more limited prospects in the capital, where structural and demographic factors favor established parties. Remaining uncertainty centers on final turnout and whether late shifts in the two pending races alter the seat distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions