Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién será arrestado antes de 2027?
¿Quién será arrestado antes de 2027?
$364,923 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
30%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
8%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
10%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$364,923 Vol.
Anthony Fauci
$135,467 Vol.
12%
John Brennan
$18,168 Vol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,677 Vol.
23%
Adam Schiff
$16,394 Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,805 Vol.
1%
James Comey
$9,602 Vol.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,278 Vol.
30%
James Clapper
$6,726 Vol.
13%
Letitia James
$2,821 Vol.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 Vol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,008 Vol.
3%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Vol.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Vol.
8%
Candace Owens
$263 Vol.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$37,157 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 Vol.
5%
John Kerry
$346 Vol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 Vol.
4%
Tom Homan
$39,428 Vol.
11%
Kash Patel
$530 Vol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 Vol.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,253 Vol.
10%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Vol.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,538 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$364,923Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$364,923Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes