Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

icon for What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

NUEVO
9 sep 2026
Polymarket

$2,292 Vol.

Polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times

$142 Vol.

15%

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times

$0 Vol.

25%

Fold / Folding / Foldable 10+ times

$306 Vol.

25%

One More Thing 3+ times

$42 Vol.

11%

Battery Life 3+ times

$133 Vol.

33%

Steve Jobs

$231 Vol.

23%

Flexible

$80 Vol.

35%

Hardware

$173 Vol.

57%

Chip

$511 Vol.

34%

Aluminum

$157 Vol.

44%

Apple TV

$0 Vol.

27%

AirPods Pro

$0 Vol.

22%

Afford / Affordable

$80 Vol.

28%

Apple Intelligence

$83 Vol.

86%

AirTag

$93 Vol.

16%

-No Qualifying Event-

$260 Vol.

1%

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfJohn Ternus’s first keynote as Apple CEO on September 9 drives trader focus toward mentions of “Apple Intelligence,” currently at 85% implied probability, amid the “Surprise and Shine” event unveiling the foldable iPhone Ultra and refreshed iPhone 18 Pro models. His hardware engineering background and recent memo highlighting a “phenomenal” launch position the address as a test of whether he emphasizes new device form factors to offset ongoing Siri and large language model challenges versus broader AI feature integration. Competitive pressure from rival assistants and Apple’s push into premium hardware shape expectations, with resolution hinging on exact phrasing in the livestreamed presentation.

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volumen
$2,292
Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfJohn Ternus’s first keynote as Apple CEO on September 9 drives trader focus toward mentions of “Apple Intelligence,” currently at 85% implied probability, amid the “Surprise and Shine” event unveiling the foldable iPhone Ultra and refreshed iPhone 18 Pro models. His hardware engineering background and recent memo highlighting a “phenomenal” launch position the address as a test of whether he emphasizes new device form factors to offset ongoing Siri and large language model challenges versus broader AI feature integration. Competitive pressure from rival assistants and Apple’s push into premium hardware shape expectations, with resolution hinging on exact phrasing in the livestreamed presentation.

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volumen
$2,292
Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Apple Intelligence" con 86%, seguido de "Hardware" con 57%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?" es "Apple Intelligence" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Hardware" con 57%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.