Recent Israeli polls show neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the opposition reaching the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority, leaving Arab parties as potential kingmakers after the October 27 election. The 25th Knesset dissolved in July, placing the current government in caretaker status, and standard post-election procedures require the president to designate a formateur followed by weeks of coalition talks before any new administration can secure a confidence vote. Tight seat projections around 52-54 per bloc create uncertainty over whether negotiations will conclude and produce a passing vote by the December 31 deadline. A decisive result favoring one side or swift surplus agreements could accelerate formation, while persistent deadlock or extended bargaining would likely push resolution into 2027.