Legislative requirements form the core barrier keeping the implied probability of a Trump $250 bill at just 2.6% for passage this year. Current law limits U.S. currency portraits to deceased individuals, and the dedicated House measure to authorize a new denomination and exception remains stalled in committee without floor votes or Senate companion progress as of mid-2026. Treasury officials have prepared designs tied to the semiquincentennial but repeatedly stated that only congressional enactment would permit printing or issuance. With limited session time remaining and competing appropriations priorities, traders view enactment before year-end as improbable. A last-minute floor vote and swift bicameral reconciliation before adjournment could still shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3% probabilidad
$28,543 Vol.
$28,543 Vol.
30 dic 2026
3% probabilidad
$28,543 Vol.
$28,543 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative requirements form the core barrier keeping the implied probability of a Trump $250 bill at just 2.6% for passage this year. Current law limits U.S. currency portraits to deceased individuals, and the dedicated House measure to authorize a new denomination and exception remains stalled in committee without floor votes or Senate companion progress as of mid-2026. Treasury officials have prepared designs tied to the semiquincentennial but repeatedly stated that only congressional enactment would permit printing or issuance. With limited session time remaining and competing appropriations priorities, traders view enactment before year-end as improbable. A last-minute floor vote and swift bicameral reconciliation before adjournment could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volumen
$28,543Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative requirements form the core barrier keeping the implied probability of a Trump $250 bill at just 2.6% for passage this year. Current law limits U.S. currency portraits to deceased individuals, and the dedicated House measure to authorize a new denomination and exception remains stalled in committee without floor votes or Senate companion progress as of mid-2026. Treasury officials have prepared designs tied to the semiquincentennial but repeatedly stated that only congressional enactment would permit printing or issuance. With limited session time remaining and competing appropriations priorities, traders view enactment before year-end as improbable. A last-minute floor vote and swift bicameral reconciliation before adjournment could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$28,543Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative requirements form the core barrier keeping the implied probability of a Trump $250 bill at just 2.6% for passage this year. Current law limits U.S. currency portraits to deceased individuals, and the dedicated House measure to authorize a new denomination and exception remains stalled in committee without floor votes or Senate companion progress as of mid-2026. Treasury officials have prepared designs tied to the semiquincentennial but repeatedly stated that only congressional enactment would permit printing or issuance. With limited session time remaining and competing appropriations priorities, traders view enactment before year-end as improbable. A last-minute floor vote and swift bicameral reconciliation before adjournment could still shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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