South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$43,176 Vol.
$43,176 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$43,176 Vol.
$43,176 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,733 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$23,443 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$43,176Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,176Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including a projected Trump advantage exceeding 16 points in 2024. Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the nomination decisively in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history and limited crossover potential, though outcomes could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as major national realignments, candidate health developments, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Greenville-Spartanburg area.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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