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icon for Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan

Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan

icon for Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan

Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan

Polymarket
NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Garlin Gilchrist (D)

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Anthony Forlini (R)

Anthony Forlini (R)

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Michigan's open 2026 Secretary of State race remains tightly contested because both major-party nominees secured their nominations at party conventions in August with strong internal support and now face a general election on November 3 in a politically divided state. Democratic nominee Garlin Gilchrist, the sitting lieutenant governor, brings statewide visibility and emphasizes election administration, voter data privacy, and modernizing licensing systems. Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, Macomb County clerk, highlights election integrity, clerk experience, and operational efficiency. Recent independent reviews confirming high accuracy in the state's voter rolls have not produced measurable movement in trader pricing, leaving implied probabilities near even as campaigns focus on turnout, messaging around trust in elections, and any late developments in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Michigan's open 2026 Secretary of State race remains tightly contested because both major-party nominees secured their nominations at party conventions in August with strong internal support and now face a general election on November 3 in a politically divided state. Democratic nominee Garlin Gilchrist, the sitting lieutenant governor, brings statewide visibility and emphasizes election administration, voter data privacy, and modernizing licensing systems. Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, Macomb County clerk, highlights election integrity, clerk experience, and operational efficiency. Recent independent reviews confirming high accuracy in the state's voter rolls have not produced measurable movement in trader pricing, leaving implied probabilities near even as campaigns focus on turnout, messaging around trust in elections, and any late developments in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Garlin Gilchrist (D)" con 47%, seguido de "Anthony Forlini (R)" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 4, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan" es "Garlin Gilchrist (D)" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Anthony Forlini (R)" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de Secretario de Estado de Michigan" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.