The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest in the Rosemont riding, where Parti Québécois candidate Pierre-Luc Brillant holds a narrow edge in trader consensus over Québec solidaire nominee Gisèle Pouhe Njall. The departure of longtime incumbent Vincent Marissal, who sat as an independent after leaving QS, has created an open race in a historically progressive Montreal district. Recent modeling from 338Canada shows a near-even split between the two parties, with limited support projected for the Liberals' David Lavoie, the CAQ's Nour Aliyah Attié, and the Conservative Party's Mildred Mathieu. Local priorities such as hospital infrastructure and housing, combined with provincial trends favoring PQ-QS competition for similar voter bases, sustain the close positioning. Further developments in the final weeks before nomination deadlines or shifts in turnout could widen the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPierre-Luc Brillant 54%
Gisèle Pouhe Njall 45%
David Lavoie 2.0%
Mildred Mathieu <1%

Pierre-Luc Brillant
54%

Gisèle Pouhe Njall
45%

David Lavoie
2%

Mildred Mathieu
1%

Nour Aliyah Attié
1%
Pierre-Luc Brillant 54%
Gisèle Pouhe Njall 45%
David Lavoie 2.0%
Mildred Mathieu <1%

Pierre-Luc Brillant
54%

Gisèle Pouhe Njall
45%

David Lavoie
2%

Mildred Mathieu
1%

Nour Aliyah Attié
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest in the Rosemont riding, where Parti Québécois candidate Pierre-Luc Brillant holds a narrow edge in trader consensus over Québec solidaire nominee Gisèle Pouhe Njall. The departure of longtime incumbent Vincent Marissal, who sat as an independent after leaving QS, has created an open race in a historically progressive Montreal district. Recent modeling from 338Canada shows a near-even split between the two parties, with limited support projected for the Liberals' David Lavoie, the CAQ's Nour Aliyah Attié, and the Conservative Party's Mildred Mathieu. Local priorities such as hospital infrastructure and housing, combined with provincial trends favoring PQ-QS competition for similar voter bases, sustain the close positioning. Further developments in the final weeks before nomination deadlines or shifts in turnout could widen the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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