Skip to main content
icon for ¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?
Economía·Tarifas Globales

¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?
Economía·Tarifas Globales

¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?

sep 30

sep 30

Sin cambios 87%

Disminuir 14%

Aumento <1%

Polymarket

$17,997 Vol.

Sin cambios 87%

Disminuir 14%

Aumento <1%

Polymarket

$17,997 Vol.

Aumento

$1,501 Vol.

<1%

Sin cambios

$8,894 Vol.

87%

Disminuir

$7,602 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Volumen
$17,997
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Volumen
$17,997
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for ¿Anunciará el BCE un aumento de 25 puntos básicos en la reunión de septiembre de 2026?

¿Anunciará el BCE un aumento de 25 puntos básicos en la reunión de septiembre de 2026?

74%
Sí
icon for ¿Sin cambios en las tasas de interés del Banco de Inglaterra después de la reunión de septiembre de 2026?

¿Sin cambios en las tasas de interés del Banco de Inglaterra después de la reunión de septiembre de 2026?

70%
Sí
icon for ¿Aumentará el Banco de Reserva de Nueva Zelanda la tasa oficial de efectivo después de la decisión de septiembre?

¿Aumentará el Banco de Reserva de Nueva Zelanda la tasa oficial de efectivo después de la decisión de septiembre?

86%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 87%, seguido de "Disminuir" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?" ha generado $18K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?" es "Sin cambios" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Disminuir" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China antes del 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.