The Bank of Israel’s policy rate has stood at 3.50% since the July 6 cut of 25 basis points, and trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change in August given the rescheduling of the next meeting to September 1. Inflation remains anchored near the target midpoint at 1.5%, supporting the central bank’s gradual easing path toward 3% over the coming year while the shekel’s strength and post-conflict recovery keep downside risks contained. With no fresh data releases or geopolitical shocks since the July decision, market-implied odds correctly price the hold as the base case, leaving only modest scope for a further modest reduction if incoming September indicators surprise to the downside.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 83%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos 17%
Recorte de 50+ puntos básicos 1.2%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos 1.2%
$78,824 Vol.
$78,824 Vol.
Recorte de 50+ puntos básicos
1%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos
17%
Sin cambios
83%
Subida de 25 puntos básicos
1%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos
1%
Sin cambios 83%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos 17%
Recorte de 50+ puntos básicos 1.2%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos 1.2%
$78,824 Vol.
$78,824 Vol.
Recorte de 50+ puntos básicos
1%
Recorte de 25 puntos básicos
17%
Sin cambios
83%
Subida de 25 puntos básicos
1%
Subida de 50+ puntos básicos
1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Israel, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 31, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Israel calendar (https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Israel resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s policy rate has stood at 3.50% since the July 6 cut of 25 basis points, and trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no change in August given the rescheduling of the next meeting to September 1. Inflation remains anchored near the target midpoint at 1.5%, supporting the central bank’s gradual easing path toward 3% over the coming year while the shekel’s strength and post-conflict recovery keep downside risks contained. With no fresh data releases or geopolitical shocks since the July decision, market-implied odds correctly price the hold as the base case, leaving only modest scope for a further modest reduction if incoming September indicators surprise to the downside.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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