Recent MrBeast uploads have settled into a 20–35 million first-day view band, anchoring trader consensus on the 25–30M bracket at 62.5% implied probability. Sustained high-frequency releases, audience fatigue after years of record-breaking peaks, and YouTube algorithm shifts have tempered the explosive day-one surges seen in 2024–2025, while his 510-plus million subscriber base still delivers reliable mid-tier velocity. Precursor data from trackers like Viewstats and SocialBlade show the last several long-form challenges landing squarely in this window, with limited promotional signals or cross-platform hype pushing expectations higher. Upcoming releases could shift momentum if a major stunt generates stronger presales or viral trailers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado# de vistas del próximo vídeo de MrBeast en el día 1?
25–30M 64%
30–35M 26%
20–25M 21%
35–40M 3.3%
$33,372 Vol.
$33,372 Vol.
<20M
1%
20–25M
17%
25–30M
61%
30–35M
29%
35–40M
3%
40–45M
2%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
25–30M 64%
30–35M 26%
20–25M 21%
35–40M 3.3%
$33,372 Vol.
$33,372 Vol.
<20M
1%
20–25M
17%
25–30M
61%
30–35M
29%
35–40M
3%
40–45M
2%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MrBeast uploads have settled into a 20–35 million first-day view band, anchoring trader consensus on the 25–30M bracket at 62.5% implied probability. Sustained high-frequency releases, audience fatigue after years of record-breaking peaks, and YouTube algorithm shifts have tempered the explosive day-one surges seen in 2024–2025, while his 510-plus million subscriber base still delivers reliable mid-tier velocity. Precursor data from trackers like Viewstats and SocialBlade show the last several long-form challenges landing squarely in this window, with limited promotional signals or cross-platform hype pushing expectations higher. Upcoming releases could shift momentum if a major stunt generates stronger presales or viral trailers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes