Avengers: Doomsday edges out as the market favorite at 52.5% implied probability due to its December 18, 2026 release positioning it for a major holiday boost and strong early presales exceeding $16 million, with industry tracking pointing to a potential $400 million domestic opening fueled by its MCU event status and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 47.5% after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut in July, highlighting intense superhero audience demand but facing the challenge of Doomsday's larger scale and timing. Other contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping register minimal odds, reflecting far lower expected openings amid heavier competition from the two tentpoles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$72,430 Vol.
$72,430 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
48%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$72,430 Vol.
$72,430 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$22,327 Vol.
53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$17,384 Vol.
48%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday edges out as the market favorite at 52.5% implied probability due to its December 18, 2026 release positioning it for a major holiday boost and strong early presales exceeding $16 million, with industry tracking pointing to a potential $400 million domestic opening fueled by its MCU event status and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 47.5% after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut in July, highlighting intense superhero audience demand but facing the challenge of Doomsday's larger scale and timing. Other contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping register minimal odds, reflecting far lower expected openings amid heavier competition from the two tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$72,430Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday edges out as the market favorite at 52.5% implied probability due to its December 18, 2026 release positioning it for a major holiday boost and strong early presales exceeding $16 million, with industry tracking pointing to a potential $400 million domestic opening fueled by its MCU event status and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 47.5% after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut in July, highlighting intense superhero audience demand but facing the challenge of Doomsday's larger scale and timing. Other contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping register minimal odds, reflecting far lower expected openings amid heavier competition from the two tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$72,430Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday edges out as the market favorite at 52.5% implied probability due to its December 18, 2026 release positioning it for a major holiday boost and strong early presales exceeding $16 million, with industry tracking pointing to a potential $400 million domestic opening fueled by its MCU event status and Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 47.5% after delivering a record $360 million domestic debut in July, highlighting intense superhero audience demand but facing the challenge of Doomsday's larger scale and timing. Other contenders like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping register minimal odds, reflecting far lower expected openings amid heavier competition from the two tentpoles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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