The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor
Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor
Matt Damon 33%
Tom Cruise 27%
Andrew Scott 15%
John Malkovich 10%
$17,711 Vol.
$17,711 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Matt Damon
33%
Tom Cruise
27%
Andrew Scott
15%
John Malkovich
10%
Jeremy Strong
8%
Brad Pitt
8%
Ryan Gosling
5%
Timothée Chalamet
4%
Sebastian Stan
4%
Sam Rockwell
4%
Pedro Pascal
3%
John Turturro
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Robert Aramayo
1%
Adam Driver
1%
Jaafar Jackson
<1%
Javier Bardem
6%
Matt Damon 33%
Tom Cruise 27%
Andrew Scott 15%
John Malkovich 10%
$17,711 Vol.
$17,711 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Matt Damon
$3,936 Vol.
33%
Tom Cruise
$3,242 Vol.
27%
Andrew Scott
$3,270 Vol.
15%
John Malkovich
$635 Vol.
10%
Jeremy Strong
$240 Vol.
8%
Brad Pitt
$899 Vol.
8%
Ryan Gosling
$1,669 Vol.
5%
Timothée Chalamet
$442 Vol.
4%
Sebastian Stan
$405 Vol.
4%
Sam Rockwell
$364 Vol.
4%
Pedro Pascal
$399 Vol.
3%
John Turturro
$393 Vol.
1%
Josh O'Connor
$324 Vol.
1%
Robert Aramayo
$391 Vol.
1%
Adam Driver
$373 Vol.
1%
Jaafar Jackson
$364 Vol.
<1%
Javier Bardem
$364 Vol.
6%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volumen
$17,711Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$17,711Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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