Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
Taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
160-170 millones 48%
140-150 millones 41%
150-160 millones 38%
170-180 millones 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
<130m
28%
130-140 millones
34%
140-150 millones
41%
150-160 millones
38%
160-170 millones
48%
170-180 millones
37%
180 millones+
30%
160-170 millones 48%
140-150 millones 41%
150-160 millones 38%
170-180 millones 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
<130m
$16 Vol.
28%
130-140 millones
$16 Vol.
34%
140-150 millones
$16 Vol.
41%
150-160 millones
$41 Vol.
38%
160-170 millones
$41 Vol.
48%
170-180 millones
$41 Vol.
37%
180 millones+
$16 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volumen
$184Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$184Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which shattered Avengers: Endgame’s benchmark, combined with a record $42 million Tuesday gross, anchors trader expectations for a strong sophomore frame. Early holdover data and franchise momentum suggest limited drop-off despite the massive debut, pushing the 160-170 million range into a narrow lead over 140-150 million. With no major competing releases this frame and sustained audience demand evident in first-week tracking, the closely matched top outcomes reflect uncertainty around exact percentage decline versus comparable superhero holdovers. Upcoming daily grosses through Friday will clarify whether word-of-mouth sustains the higher band or accelerates the drop toward lower tiers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?
86%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
45%
¿Será la recaudación bruta total nacional de Spider-Man: Brand New Day de al menos 900 millones para el 31 de agosto?
81%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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