Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
180-190 millones 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 millones 1.0%
$17,477 Vol.
$17,477 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
86%
180-190 millones
10%
190-200m
4%
200-210 millones
1%
210-220 millones
1%
220 millones+
<1%
<180m 86%
180-190 millones 10%
190-200m 3.5%
210-220 millones 1.0%
$17,477 Vol.
$17,477 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
$10,045 Vol.
86%
180-190 millones
$1,091 Vol.
10%
190-200m
$1,380 Vol.
4%
200-210 millones
$1,061 Vol.
1%
210-220 millones
$1,282 Vol.
1%
220 millones+
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$17,477Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$17,477Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, the biggest ever and ahead of Avengers: Endgame, driven by massive fan anticipation, strong critical reception around 90 percent, and record previews. This front-loaded performance typically produces steep second-weekend drops of 60 percent or more for event films, especially with competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and audience saturation after the July 31 release. Traders have priced in this pattern at 86 percent for under $180 million, consistent with historical legs for similar MCU and Sony tentpoles that rarely sustain momentum without major awards or viral boosts. Positive word-of-mouth and ongoing global momentum past $1 billion worldwide provide some cushion, but the market consensus reflects limited repeat viewership potential heading into the August 7–9 frame.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será la taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día" entre 160 millones y 170 millones?
48%
Sí
¿Será la recaudación bruta total nacional de Spider-Man: Brand New Day de al menos 900 millones para el 31 de agosto?
81%
Sí
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
45%
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes