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icon for ¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?

¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?

icon for ¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?

¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?

<4 57%

4 27.0%

5 9%

6+ 5.2%

Polymarket

$20,887 Vol.

<4 57%

4 27.0%

5 9%

6+ 5.2%

Polymarket

$20,887 Vol.

<4

$2,501 Vol.

57%

4

$632 Vol.

27%

5

$247 Vol.

9%

6+

$17,506 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three confirmed ballistic missile launch events in August 2026 through August 24: single short-range tests from Wonsan on August 6 and 12, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang area on August 20. The most recent salvo occurred shortly after U.S. President Trump ordered scaled-back Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and publicly referenced plans to meet Kim Jong Un. These actions align with Pyongyang’s pattern of using tests to signal resolve amid diplomatic overtures and ongoing U.S.-South Korea military coordination. With only days left in the month, the market’s emphasis on fewer than four total events reflects the low historical frequency of additional launches in late August and the absence of further reported activity since the 20th.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$20,887
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted three confirmed ballistic missile launch events in August 2026 through August 24: single short-range tests from Wonsan on August 6 and 12, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang area on August 20. The most recent salvo occurred shortly after U.S. President Trump ordered scaled-back Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and publicly referenced plans to meet Kim Jong Un. These actions align with Pyongyang’s pattern of using tests to signal resolve amid diplomatic overtures and ongoing U.S.-South Korea military coordination. With only days left in the month, the market’s emphasis on fewer than four total events reflects the low historical frequency of additional launches in late August and the absence of further reported activity since the 20th.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$20,887
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<4" con 57%, seguido de "4" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?" ha generado $20.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?" es "<4" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "4" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Número de pruebas de misiles de Corea del Norte en agosto de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.