Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean in voter registration, recent presidential results, and House margins exceeding 17 points. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Norcross’s unopposed primary and the limited Republican infrastructure behind challenger Damon Galdo. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Shifts remain possible from an unusually strong national Republican environment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late developments such as candidate health issues or scandals that could compress the margin before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNJ-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NJ-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$45,224 Vol.
$45,224 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$45,224 Vol.
$45,224 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$27,440 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$17,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean in voter registration, recent presidential results, and House margins exceeding 17 points. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Norcross’s unopposed primary and the limited Republican infrastructure behind challenger Damon Galdo. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Shifts remain possible from an unusually strong national Republican environment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late developments such as candidate health issues or scandals that could compress the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$45,224Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean in voter registration, recent presidential results, and House margins exceeding 17 points. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Norcross’s unopposed primary and the limited Republican infrastructure behind challenger Damon Galdo. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Shifts remain possible from an unusually strong national Republican environment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late developments such as candidate health issues or scandals that could compress the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,224Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean in voter registration, recent presidential results, and House margins exceeding 17 points. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Norcross’s unopposed primary and the limited Republican infrastructure behind challenger Damon Galdo. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Shifts remain possible from an unusually strong national Republican environment, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late developments such as candidate health issues or scandals that could compress the margin before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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