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Política·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Política·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.5%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Vol.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.5%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Vol.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,751 Vol.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,496 Vol.

10%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$7,171 Vol.

5%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,407 Vol.

4%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,162 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$121,787
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2028
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$121,787
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2028
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Prime Minister of Spain?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" con 80%, seguido de "Pedro Sánchez" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" ha generado $121.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Prime Minister of Spain?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" es "Alberto Núñez Feijóo" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Pedro Sánchez" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Prime Minister of Spain?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.