New Democracy maintains a double-digit lead in recent Greek opinion polls ahead of the scheduled 2027 parliamentary election, with estimates placing the party near 29-30 percent while the nearest rival, the newly formed ELAS led by former prime minister Alexis Tsipras, trails at 15-17 percent. This positioning reflects New Democracy’s status as the incumbent governing party under Kyriakos Mitsotakis, ongoing economic policy focus, and limited erosion of support despite the emergence of challengers such as ELAS and ELPIDA. Polling aggregators through early September 2026 show consistent results across firms, with no party approaching the threshold for an outright majority and multiple smaller parties competing near the 3 percent entry barrier. Trader consensus assigns New Democracy the highest implied probability, reflecting the stability of these trends over the past several months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoND 88%
ELAS 5.4%
KKE <1%
NIKI <1%
$17,755 Vol.
$17,755 Vol.

ND
88%

ELAS
5%

KKE
1%

NIKI
<1%

PASOK-KINAL
<1%

SYRIZA
<1%

ELPIDA
<1%

EL
<1%

PE
<1%
ND 88%
ELAS 5.4%
KKE <1%
NIKI <1%
$17,755 Vol.
$17,755 Vol.

ND
88%

ELAS
5%

KKE
1%

NIKI
<1%

PASOK-KINAL
<1%

SYRIZA
<1%

ELPIDA
<1%

EL
<1%

PE
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Democracy maintains a double-digit lead in recent Greek opinion polls ahead of the scheduled 2027 parliamentary election, with estimates placing the party near 29-30 percent while the nearest rival, the newly formed ELAS led by former prime minister Alexis Tsipras, trails at 15-17 percent. This positioning reflects New Democracy’s status as the incumbent governing party under Kyriakos Mitsotakis, ongoing economic policy focus, and limited erosion of support despite the emergence of challengers such as ELAS and ELPIDA. Polling aggregators through early September 2026 show consistent results across firms, with no party approaching the threshold for an outright majority and multiple smaller parties competing near the 3 percent entry barrier. Trader consensus assigns New Democracy the highest implied probability, reflecting the stability of these trends over the past several months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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