Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election places BSW support consistently in the low-to-mid 4% range, which underpins trader consensus around the 3-5% bracket. INSA and Infratest dimap surveys from July and mid-August show the party at or near 4%, reflecting competition for left-leaning voters with Die Linke (steady near 11-12%) and the SPD amid AfD strength exceeding 35%. BSW enters this contest after narrowly missing the national 5% threshold in 2025 and posting sub-5% results in other recent state votes, with limited upward movement following Sahra Wagenknecht’s November 2025 leadership transition. Modest risks of crossing into the 5-7% range exist if turnout or eastern protest dynamics shift, though structural headwinds keep higher shares unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental: ¿Porcentaje de votos de BSW?
Elecciones parlamentarias de Mecklemburgo-Pomerania Occidental: ¿Porcentaje de votos de BSW?
3-5% 57%
<3% 28%
5-7% 16%
7%+ 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<3%
28%
3-5%
57%
5-7%
16%
7%+
1%
3-5% 57%
<3% 28%
5-7% 16%
7%+ 1.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
<3%
$232 Vol.
28%
3-5%
$837 Vol.
57%
5-7%
$42 Vol.
16%
7%+
$186 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election places BSW support consistently in the low-to-mid 4% range, which underpins trader consensus around the 3-5% bracket. INSA and Infratest dimap surveys from July and mid-August show the party at or near 4%, reflecting competition for left-leaning voters with Die Linke (steady near 11-12%) and the SPD amid AfD strength exceeding 35%. BSW enters this contest after narrowly missing the national 5% threshold in 2025 and posting sub-5% results in other recent state votes, with limited upward movement following Sahra Wagenknecht’s November 2025 leadership transition. Modest risks of crossing into the 5-7% range exist if turnout or eastern protest dynamics shift, though structural headwinds keep higher shares unlikely.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Volumen
$1,297Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election places BSW support consistently in the low-to-mid 4% range, which underpins trader consensus around the 3-5% bracket. INSA and Infratest dimap surveys from July and mid-August show the party at or near 4%, reflecting competition for left-leaning voters with Die Linke (steady near 11-12%) and the SPD amid AfD strength exceeding 35%. BSW enters this contest after narrowly missing the national 5% threshold in 2025 and posting sub-5% results in other recent state votes, with limited upward movement following Sahra Wagenknecht’s November 2025 leadership transition. Modest risks of crossing into the 5-7% range exist if turnout or eastern protest dynamics shift, though structural headwinds keep higher shares unlikely.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volumen
$1,297Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election places BSW support consistently in the low-to-mid 4% range, which underpins trader consensus around the 3-5% bracket. INSA and Infratest dimap surveys from July and mid-August show the party at or near 4%, reflecting competition for left-leaning voters with Die Linke (steady near 11-12%) and the SPD amid AfD strength exceeding 35%. BSW enters this contest after narrowly missing the national 5% threshold in 2025 and posting sub-5% results in other recent state votes, with limited upward movement following Sahra Wagenknecht’s November 2025 leadership transition. Modest risks of crossing into the 5-7% range exist if turnout or eastern protest dynamics shift, though structural headwinds keep higher shares unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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