Recent easing of heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan, combined with strengthening northeasterly winds and reduced cloud cover, is the main driver shaping overnight cooling expectations for Taipei on September 8. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate minimum temperatures likely falling into the low-20s°C range under partly clear skies, where radiative cooling and lower humidity enhance heat loss after daytime highs near 30°C. Persistent moisture from prior systems and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty in exact minima, with some guidance suggesting slightly warmer readings if cloud cover lingers. This spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 22–25°C outcomes alongside elevated probability on warmer thresholds, reflecting traders weighting the balance between post-rain stabilization and potential for limited nocturnal mixing. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Taipéi el 8 de septiembre?
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
19°C 48%
17°C o menos
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
48%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
35%
23°C
29%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
36%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
19°C 48%
17°C o menos
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
48%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
35%
23°C
29%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C o más
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent easing of heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan, combined with strengthening northeasterly winds and reduced cloud cover, is the main driver shaping overnight cooling expectations for Taipei on September 8. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate minimum temperatures likely falling into the low-20s°C range under partly clear skies, where radiative cooling and lower humidity enhance heat loss after daytime highs near 30°C. Persistent moisture from prior systems and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty in exact minima, with some guidance suggesting slightly warmer readings if cloud cover lingers. This spread explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 22–25°C outcomes alongside elevated probability on warmer thresholds, reflecting traders weighting the balance between post-rain stabilization and potential for limited nocturnal mixing. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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